Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 355.609971 403.337800 456.352626 519.828517 594.052403 678.444026 782.149797
2025-10-05 294.330017 359.347503 438.220770 541.893049 675.973283 845.453635 1078.978502
2025-10-12 263.636033 337.734616 433.017343 566.434984 751.509003 1003.837054 1382.130317
2025-10-19 234.673118 312.081626 416.273255 569.719600 795.060222 1122.210926 1649.189477
2025-10-26 207.274304 284.024018 391.207845 555.720840 809.033695 1196.863880 1861.538231
2025-11-02 186.619328 262.494806 371.945143 546.225338 826.280896 1276.409060 2093.723270
2025-11-09 175.790554 253.673002 369.657850 561.227258 882.606389 1425.487321 2472.355304
2025-11-16 162.440301 239.509655 357.420686 558.360032 908.244753 1525.613915 2781.784576
2025-11-23 150.031245 225.494064 343.765683 551.092319 924.568390 1610.632656 3078.689738
2025-11-30 141.197165 216.226918 336.635541 553.690103 958.187846 1732.110979 3476.102672
2025-12-07 131.001302 203.829999 323.090061 543.304268 965.960630 1804.045412 3781.707865
2025-12-14 123.187840 194.690304 314.132116 540.009277 986.516558 1904.499073 4175.648465
2025-12-21 112.523893 180.131586 294.933880 516.376942 965.047984 1916.063499 4366.087807
2025-12-28 109.638841 178.676418 298.624987 536.536008 1035.762369 2141.348392 5162.648367
2026-01-04 107.549301 178.381989 304.272053 561.010861 1119.111288 2411.644162 6167.220283
2026-01-11 102.723584 172.800155 299.642423 564.231026 1156.282601 2579.274294 6933.379711
2026-01-18 96.167567 163.589240 287.408997 550.394928 1152.729716 2644.764679 7409.013531
2026-01-25 90.720986 156.047330 277.766067 541.006716 1158.264785 2734.935249 7995.757398
2026-02-01 88.487496 154.344250 279.308226 555.838403 1224.039346 2999.865594 9276.899106
2026-02-08 84.479974 148.984008 273.158328 553.003781 1245.713333 3146.792771 10193.251574
2026-02-15 80.326558 143.069683 265.436822 545.818589 1255.315165 3261.025727 11032.659945
2026-02-22 77.443934 139.444981 262.111578 548.386900 1290.811543 3460.762121 12305.576370
2026-03-01 73.545395 133.569027 253.680247 538.118744 1290.441436 3549.377512 13147.015784